This means that the influence of El Niño and a positive IOD, should they develop, will be more pronounced during the second half of the season. It’s important to note that the Pacific and Indian Oceans are both currently in a neutral state. When these two climate drivers occur at the same time, they can reinforce each other and exacerbate their influence on Australia's weather. Image: Typical oceanic and atmospheric conditions experienced during a positive IOD.īoth El Niño and a positive IOD promote warmer and drier than average weather in Australia during winter. On the other side of Australia, both observations and forecast models suggest that a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) will also form this winter. Image: Typical oceanic and atmospheric conditions experienced during El Niño. We are already seeing strong signs that the onset of this El Niño pattern is underway, and the overwhelming forecast model consensus makes El Niño more likely than not over the coming months. Climate driversĪll major international seasonal forecast models predict that El Niño will develop in the Pacific Ocean this winter. While this winter will still have plenty of cold weather, rain, snow and frost, two broad-scale climate drivers could team up and make some types of weather more likely than others. Images: Average winter maximum temperature (top) and rainfall (bottom) for Australia. These are typically Australia’s three coldest months of the year and a time for seasonal rain and snow in the country’s southern states. The meteorological winter in Australia runs from June 1 until August 31. For example, you can write "Go to Starbucks with Frank tomorrow at 4 pm" in the subject, then you will find this task in TickTick's Inbox with the same due date and reminder time.El Nino and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole could combine forces to cause abnormally warm and dry weather over large areas of Australia this winter. You can also add a date and reminder time to the email subject to let TickTick to set a due date for your task on that date with that reminder.
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